09/15 - MAC's Week 3 College Football Analysis, Odds, & Predictions

09/15 - MAC's Week 3 College Football Analysis, Odds, & Predictions

MAC's in-depth information on the opening lines, sharp money, public betting, and odds movement, playable at MyBookie and Bovada!


WAKE FOREST AT NC STATE ODDS

North Carolina State -3, Over/Under 55.5

The Wolfpack moved to -2.5 this morning, a mild adjustment by the books to equal out the action, MAC us sticking to the system and fading Wake Forest games when they are 3 or more underdogs. 65% of is coming in on North Carolina State which could mean smart money burying the ML, because 60% of the spread money is on Wake Forest. NC State hasn't been a good spread play at home, toting a 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games making the safe move the Money Line. MAC's Final Score Prediction - Wake Forest 22 - NC State 24

Play: North Carolina State ML (MAC's "Get The Edge Game")

Bodog
Get The Edge on the NC State game at Bodog - Get ML Odds Here

Quick Trends:
  • Demon Deacons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
  • Demon Deacons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Demon Deacons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

(13) UCF AT GEORGIA TECH ODDS

Georgia Tech +7.5, Over/Under 60

A lot of money coming in on UCF, lines makers have Georgia Tech as 7.5 underdogs which is a tell that they will be playing like a bunch of bums, UCF could be the worst team with the best stats, going 3-1 non-con play but McKenzie Milton isn't a option for a while the D is holding there own with reports saying they look solid. Look for the 1 win Georgia Tech team to get that single vote for the Top 25 revoked, USF had a better game than Georgia Tech even though they lost. No lines maker is showing respect to the Yellow Jackets and MAC is all over the chalk.

Play: UCF - 7.5

Quick Trends:
Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
Yellow Jackets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in September.
Yellow Jackets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Yellow Jackets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.

(18) MIAMI AT (16) LOUISVILLE ODDS

Louisville -1.5, Over/Under 61

MAC is weary about betting on any Louisville Collegiate sports game, the shadowy powers that be seem to play a lot of shenanigans when it comes down the the odds and payouts from CBB to NCAAF. A early jump in the odds has Louisville as 2.5 point chalk. 70% of early money is taking Miami and the points, The RedAlertWagers,com consensus groups are going with a total play after the small line move to 62, the East Coast affiliates and associates from the Miami betting syndicate are taking under 62 giving MAC his backroom info play on a Miami/Louisville match up, the Cardinals are prone to blowing the total up and the opposite goes for Miami who usually has the low scoring games that just miss a cover, look for the lousy September game play from the Cardinals who might turn it on as the season goes on. MAC's Final Score Prediction - Miami 35 - Louisville 21

Play: Under 62

Quick Trends:
  • Under is 20-8 in Hurricanes last 28 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 16-7-2 in Hurricanes last 25 conference games.
  • Under is 11-5-2 in Hurricanes last 18 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 6-2 in Cardinals last 8 games in September.

SOUTH FLORIDA vs (7) NOTRE DAME ODDS

Notre Dame -26, Over/Under 53

Notre Dame beat Duke, big deal..but they're ranked 7 in the Nation, so what!...Look most people are not giving The Irish the respect they deserve and they are right not to, The Fighting Irish have been a disappointment the last 30 years and nothing has changed. The money coming in on ND is not enough to make a difference in the odds and expect the line to drop if anything, book makers have the number tight and MAC and his consensus team will be taking the South Florida and the points.

Play: South Florida +26

Quick Trends:
  • Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
  • Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. ACC.
  • Bulls are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

SYRACUSE vs PITTSBURGH

Pittsburgh -20.5, Over/Under 50.5

Pitt opened at -20.5 and moved quickly to -21.5 after about 90% of spread & handle coming in on Pitt, lots of sharps giving the points this week, smart money is forcing lines makers to jack it up a bit. Pitt -21.5 is the value play of the week. Look for Pitt to blow out a lousy Syracuse team and keep a eye on the total, watch for a small line jump and the tell for a move on the over.

Play: Pitt -21.5

Quick Trends:
  • Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.

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